LONDON NUCLEAR WARFARE TRIBUNAL
Evidence,
Commentary, and Judgment
3.2.6 Tribunal Conclusions on Global Ecosphere Effects
After careful consideration of all the evidence submitted on the
nuclear winter the members of the Tribunal were drawn to a number of
significant conclusions:
- There appears to be genuine controversy within the scientific
community on the certainty or severity of a nuclear winter after a
nuclear exchange. However, a number of major computational studies
carried out independently in the USA and USSR appear to come to the
same conclusion: that a nuclear winter is a likely consequence of
nuclear war.
- Experimental evidence has shown that dust emitted by volcanoes can
encircle the globe within 20 days and that there is an historical
correlation between frost damage to tree rings and occurrences of major
dust-creating volcanic eruptions.
- A nuclear winter arising from a theatre or strategic nuclear
exchange may render human life impossible in one or both hemispheres of
the Earth on a long-term basis. This effect may far outweigh the
short-term effects of nuclear weapons on civilians and combatants.
- In view of the fact that the nuclear winter theory cannot be
indisputably disproved short of a test in the form of a real war and
that the evidence seems to point to it as a real and likely outcome of
even a theatre nuclear war (for example, limited to Europe), then it is
apparent that the use of nuclear weapons within a limited scenario must
be regarded as a grossly irresponsible act on a global scale having
consequences far beyond any conceivable military objective within the
theatre of use.
© 1985-2005 Geoffrey Darnton. All rights reserved. gdarnton@nuclearwarfaretribunal.org